Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.244305 0.283129 0.327644 0.382797 0.449757 0.529005 0.630769
2025-07-20 0.193207 0.245136 0.311830 0.405324 0.535557 0.714489 0.986091
2025-07-27 0.160086 0.216756 0.295842 0.417647 0.606900 0.901342 1.419327
2025-08-03 0.138534 0.197360 0.285048 0.430925 0.679573 1.111277 1.982177
2025-08-10 0.121135 0.179710 0.271804 0.435106 0.736323 1.312485 2.631739
2025-08-17 0.107402 0.164841 0.259312 0.436338 0.786550 1.518511 3.410091
2025-08-24 0.095893 0.151478 0.246501 0.433342 0.826791 1.718799 4.306780
2025-08-31 0.085933 0.139129 0.233142 0.425954 0.855256 1.903869 5.300917
2025-09-07 0.080086 0.133016 0.229872 0.437604 0.928904 2.232611 7.031402
2025-09-14 0.072735 0.123192 0.218029 0.428672 0.951367 2.435404 8.524258
2025-09-21 0.067805 0.117199 0.212681 0.432762 1.007891 2.767282 10.944208
2025-09-28 0.063008 0.110867 0.205702 0.431655 1.050567 3.080055 13.725533
2025-10-05 0.059690 0.107121 0.203735 0.442678 1.133410 3.590958 18.550420
2025-10-12 0.056691 0.103676 0.201953 0.454014 1.222691 4.194867 25.424521
2025-10-19 0.053886 0.100298 0.199828 0.464096 1.312853 4.878198 35.012642
2025-10-26 0.051604 0.097745 0.199188 0.478122 1.422989 5.755620 49.991064
2025-11-02 0.048932 0.094063 0.195408 0.482585 1.501750 6.558110 68.398547
2025-11-09 0.046331 0.090268 0.190857 0.483910 1.570280 7.383746 92.859473
2025-11-16 0.043719 0.086190 0.185102 0.480491 1.619581 8.157998 123.379166
2025-11-23 0.041095 0.081848 0.178170 0.472104 1.645759 8.822820 159.194369
2025-11-30 0.039730 0.080245 0.177978 0.485322 1.774399 10.414475 247.299708
2025-12-07 0.037421 0.076246 0.171113 0.475186 1.791499 11.163760 322.042060
2025-12-14 0.035926 0.074034 0.168711 0.479827 1.884113 12.735096 487.590176